Carry on wayward Sons.
We’re nearing the end of GRAMMY Week! Thanks for sticking with the blog as we count down the days until music’s biggest night on Sunday at 8PM eastern on CBS.
Now, for the topic of all GRAMMY topics, my predictions for all of the categories. This took a while to compile, so I hope you enjoy and let me know your predictions in the comments or on Twitter at @AdamFSoybel. You’ll see some general notes from me in the categories I know best. Check back on Sunday to see how well I did! (Original Big Four post) (Second Big Four post)
FULLY BOLD = I picked the winner correctly.
CROSSED OUT = I did not pick the winner correctly. I got 35 out of 81 correct.
GENERAL FIELD (winners complete)
Record Of The Year:
fun. featuring Janelle Monáe – “We Are Young” Gotye featuring Kimbra – “Somebody That I Used To Know”
Album Of The Year: Mumford & Sons – Babel
Song Of The Year:
Kelly Clarkson – “Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)” fun. featuring Janelle Monáe – “We Are Young”
Best New Artist: fun.
First of all, you’re probably saying, where is Frank Ocean? To be honest, I have no clue where to put him, because I can’t see him winning any of the Big Four. I know people generally think he’ll take Best New Artist over fun., but considering how commercial the picks have been leaning recently, I think they can pull it off. (I do have Ocean winning for a feature and genre-specific award later on.) My only change from December is that I think “We Are Young” will win Record Of The Year rather than “Somebody That I Used To Know”. Gotye and Kimbra aren’t performing on the broadcast, which is usually an indication that they didn’t win any of the big ones.
POP FIELD (winners complete)
Best Pop Solo Performance: Adele – “Set Fire To The Rain (Live at the Royal Albert Hall)”
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance: Gotye featuring Kimbra – “Somebody That I Used To Know”
Best Pop Instrumental Album: Chris Botti – Impressions
Best Pop Vocal Album:
fun. – Some Nights Kelly Clarkson – Stronger
Solo Performance is definitely going to Adele; remember that Train‘s “Hey, Soul Sister” won in a live version two years ago for a similar category. With my thinking that Gotye and Kimbra are going to lose out on Record Of The Year, they should win Pop Duo/Group Performance. Chris Botti‘s album did well commercially. Pop Vocal Album is tough; I’ve been going back and forth between fun., Kelly Clarkson and Pink, but I like Some Nights the most out of the three.
DANCE/ELECTRONICA FIELD (winners complete)
Best Dance Recording:
Swedish House Mafia featuring John Martin – “Don’t You Worry Child” Skrillex featuring Sirah – “Bangarang”
Best Dance/Electronica Album:
The Chemical Brothers – Don’t Think Skrillex – Bangarang
I still don’t know why the Academy liked Skrillex so much last year. He’s nominated again in both categories this year, but I think the Academy will sympathize with the fact that Swedish House Mafia is breaking up, plus The Chemical Brothers took home wins for the Album Award in 2006 and 2008.
TRADITIONAL POP FIELD (winners complete)
Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album:
Michael Bublé – Christmas Paul McCartney – Kisses On The Bottom
Bublé’s won the Award three times in the past five years. It would be the first time a seasonal album wins in the category.
ROCK FIELD (winners complete)
Best Rock Performance:
Mumford & Sons – “I Will Wait” The Black Keys – “Lonely Boy”
Best Hard Rock/Metal Performance:
Iron Maiden – “Blood Brothers (Live)” Halestorm – “Love Bites (So Do I)”
Best Rock Song: The Black Keys – “Lonely Boy”
Best Rock Album: The Black Keys – El Camino
Mumford & Sons and The Black Keys should dominate this field; they were the two biggest rock releases in this period. Iron Maiden is a previous winner in that category and I think they’ll win, even if it’s with a live track.
ALTERNATIVE FIELD (winners complete)
Best Alternative Music Album: Gotye – Making Mirrors
Pretty sure Gotye can take this one home, which will bring his total to two Awards.
R&B FIELD (winners complete)
Best R&B Performance:
Miguel – “Adorn” Usher – “Climax”
Best Traditional R&B Performance:
Anita Baker – “Lately” Beyoncé – “Love On Top”
Best R&B Song: Miguel – “Adorn”
Best R&B Album: Robert Glasper Experiment – Black Radio
Best Urban Contemporary Album: Frank Ocean – channel ORANGE
Miguel got a ton of nominations at this year’s ceremony, and I think he’ll take at least Best R&B Performance and Best R&B Song. The song’s been at #1 forever on R&B radio. Anita Baker has won roughly half the time she’s been nominated; “Lately” was a great return for her and I’d like to see it win. Best R&B Album is sort of up in the air, but the Robert Glasper Experiment could perhaps take it. Ocean can probably take a win in that new Urban Contemporary category this year.
RAP FIELD (winners complete)
Best Rap Performance:
Kanye West, Big Sean, Pusha T and 2 Chainz – “Mercy” Jay-Z & Kanye West – “N****s In Paris”
Best Rap/Sung Collaboration: Jay-Z, Kanye West, Frank Ocean and The-Dream – “No Church In The Wild”
Best Rap Song: Jay-Z & Kanye West – “N****s In Paris”
Best Rap Album: Drake – Take Care
Last year’s Awards seemed to be a Jay-Z and Kanye West lovefest, so I’m keeping that trend going for this year. Since Drake got snubbed in the Big Four categories, I’m guessing he’ll take home Best Rap Album. It did well commercially.
Best Country Solo Performance:
Dierks Bentley – “Home” Carrie Underwood – “Blown Away”
Best Country Duo/Group Performance:
Taylor Swift featuring The Civil Wars — “Safe & Sound” Little Big Town – “Pontoon”
Best Country Song: Carrie Underwood – “Blown Away”
Best Country Album:
Hunter Hayes — Hunter Hayes Zac Brown Band – Uncaged
With his performance slot, this should be Bentley’s year to pick up his first Award. The Civil Wars will likely pull off a repeat and Underwood’s always done well in the Country categories. Hayes will be blocked out of Best New Artist, so I’m really hoping he can take Country Album. He’s such a talented guy and the album’s great.
At this point, most of my nominees are based on either names I know or acts who have won the category before. If you need anything more specific on how I came to my decision, feel free to comment (as I mentioned above.)
NEW AGE FIELD (winners complete)
Best New Age Album:
Loreena McKennitt – Troubadours Of The Rhine Omar Akram – Echoes Of Love
JAZZ FIELD (winners complete)
Best Improvised Jazz Solo:
Chick Corea – Alice in Wonderland Gary Burton & Chick Corea – Hot House
Best Jazz Vocal Album: Esperanza Spalding – Radio Music Society
Best Jazz Instrumental Album:
Chick Corea & Gary Burton – Hot House Pat Metheny Unity Band – Unity Band
Best Large Jazz Ensemble Album:
Bob Mintzer Big Band – For The Moment Arturo Sandoval – Dear Diz (Everyday I Think Of You)
Best Latin Jazz Album:
Luciana Souza – Duos III Clare Fischer Latin Jazz Big Band – Ritmo!
GOSPEL/CONTEMPORARY CHRISTIAN MUSIC FIELD (winners complete)
Best Gospel/Contemporary Christian Music Performance:
Mary Mary – “Go Get It” Matt Redman – “10,000 Reasons (Bless The Lord)”
Best Gospel Song:
Marvin Sapp – “My Testimony” Mary Mary – “Go Get It”
Best Contemporary Christian Music Song: Matt Redman – “10,000 Reasons (Bless The Lord)” / Israel Houghton – “Your Presence Is Heaven” (tie; I predicted Redman)
Best Gospel Album: Lecrae – Gravity
Best Contemporary Christian Music Album:
Britt Nicole – Gold tobyMac – Eye On It
The title track from Nicole’s album is crossing over to mainstream radio; I think that’s grounds for her taking something in the field.
LATIN FIELD (winners complete)
Best Latin Pop Album: Juanes – MTV Unplugged: Deluxe Edition
Best Latin Rock, Urban or Alternative Album:
Ana Tijoux – La Bala Quetzal – Imaginaries
Best Regional Mexican Album (Including Tejano): Lila Downs – Pecados y Milagros
Best Tropical Latin Album:
Romeo Santos — Formula, Vol. 1 Marlow Rosado and La Riqueña — Retro
AMERICAN ROOTS MUSIC FIELD (winners complete)
Best Americana Album:
Mumford & Sons – Babel Bonnie Raitt – Slipstream
Best Bluegrass Album:
Dailey & Vincent – The Gospel Side Of… Steep Canyon Rangers – Nobody Knows You
Best Blues Album: Dr. John – Locked Down
Best Folk Album:
Carolina Chocolate Drops – Leaving Eden Yo-Yo Mama, Stuart Duncan, Edgar Meyer and Chris Thile – The Goat Radio Sessions
Best Regional Roots Music Album: Wayne Toups, Steve Riley & Wilson Savoy – The Band Courtbouillon
Americana Album is probably either going to Mumford & Sons or The Lumineers, but I’m leaning towards the former, especially if they win Album Of The Year.
REGGAE FIELD (winners complete)
Best Reggae Album: Jimmy Cliff – Rebirth
WORLD MUSIC FIELD (winners complete)
Best World Music Album: Ravi Shankar – The Living Room Sessions, Part 1
Shankar recently passed away at the age of 92.
CHILDREN’S FIELD (winners complete)
Best Children’s Album:
Bill Harley – High Dive and Other Things That Could Have Happened The Okee Dokie Brothers – Can You Canoe?
SPOKEN WORD FIELD (winners complete)
Best Spoken Word Album:
Michelle Obama – American Grown Janis Ian – Society’s Child: My Autobiography
She’s back in the White House… that would probably help her chances, wouldn’t it?
COMEDY FIELD (winners complete)
Best Comedy Album: Jimmy Fallon – Blow Your Pants Off
Fallon has a strong chance of picking up the win for his collection of parodies and impressions of musicians singing television theme songs. Heck, I bought the “Tebowie” vinyl single at Record Store Day last year. Funny stuff.
MUSICAL THEATER FIELD (winners complete)
Best Musical Theater Album: Various Artists – Once: A New Musical
Haven’t seen the musical version, but the movie’s great, so I’m good with it getting a little more recognition.
MUSIC FOR VISUAL MEDIA FIELD (winners complete)
Best Compilation Soundtrack for Visual Media: Original Soundtrack to
The Muppets Midnight In Paris
Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media:
Ludovic Bource – Original Score to The Artist Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross – The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Best Song Written For Visual Media: Taylor Swift & The Civil Wars – “Safe & Sound” (from The Hunger Games)
The only other potential nominee that could win Best Song is “Learn Me Right” by Birdy and Mumford & Sons, which would give the group four wins, the highest total of the night. We’ll have to wait and see.
COMPOSING/ARRANGING FIELD (winners complete)
Best Instrumental Composition:
Chris Brubeck and Dave Brubeck for Music of Ansel Adams: America Chick Corea – Mozart Goes Dancing
Best Instrumental Arrangement:
Gordon Goodwin, performed by Arturo Sandoval – Salt Peanuts! (Mani Salado) Gil Evans Project – How About You?
Best Instrumental Arrangement Accompanying Vocals: Esperanza Spalding (with Thara Memory) – “City Of Roses”
The elder Brubeck, Dave, recently passed away at age 91.
CRAFTS FIELD (winners complete)
Best Album Notes:
Holly George-Warren; Janis Joplin – The Pearl Sessions Billy Vera – ‘Singular Genius: The Complete ABC Singles
Best Boxed/Special Limited Edition:
Stephen Kennedy; Rolling Stones – Some Girls: Super Deluxe Edition Fritz Klaetke – Woody At 100: The Woody Guthrie Centennial Collection
Best Historical Album:
Paul McCartney (producer), Simon Gibson, Guy Massey & Steve Rooke (mastering engineers) – Ram: Paul McCartney Archive Collection (Deluxe Edition) Alan Boyd, Mark Linett, Brian Wilson & Dennis Wolfe (producers), Mark Linett (mastering engineer) for The Smile Sessions (Deluxe Box Set) (Beach Boys)
Best Recording Package:
Brett Kilroe; Alabama Shakes – Boys & Girls Michael Amzalag & Mathias Augustyniak – Biophilia, performed by Bjork
Best Engineered Album, Classical:
Jesse Lewis & John Newton (engineers), Jesse Brayman (mastering engineer); Carlos Kalmar and the Oregon Symphony – Music for a Time of War Tom Caulfield & John Newton (engineers), Mark Donahue (mastering engineer) for Life & Breath – Choral Works by René Clausen, performed by Charles Bruffy & the Kansas City Chorale
Best Engineered Album (Non-classical):
Glyn Johns (engineer), Bob Ludwig (mastering engineer); Ryan Adams – Ashes & Fire Richard King – The Goat Road Sessions
Producer Of The Year, Classical: Blanton Alspaugh
Producer Of The Year (Non-classical):
Jeff Bhasker Dan Auerbach
Best Remixed Recording: Skrillex (remixer); Nero – “Promises”
Best Surround Sound Album:
Morten Lindberg (engineer/mastering engineer/producer); Hoff Ensemble – Quiet Winter Night Jim Anderson (engineer), Darcy Proper (mastering engineer) and Michael Friedman (producer) for Modern Cool, performed by Patricia Barber
CLASSICAL FIELD (winners complete)
Best Orchestral Performance: Michael Tilson Thomas (conductor), San Francisco Symphony – Adams: Harmonielehre & Short Ride in a Fast Machine
Best Opera Recording:
Vladimir Jurowski (conductor), Topi Lehtipuu, Miah Persson & Matthew Rose (soloists), Jean Chatauret (producer) – Stravinsky: The Rake’s Progress James Levine & Fabio Luisi (conductors), Hans Peter König, Jay Hunter Morris, Bryn Terfel & Deborah Voigt (soloists), Jay David Saks (producer) – Wagner: Der Ring des Nibelungen
Best Choral Performance: Charles Bruffy (conductor); Matthew Gladden, Lindsey Lang, Rebecca Lloyd, Sarah Tannehill & Pamela Williamson and the Kansas City Chorale – Life & Breath: Choral Works by René Clausen
Best Chamber Music/Small Ensemble Performance:
Boston Symphony Chamber Players – Profanes et Sacrées Eighth Blackbird – Meanwhile
Best Classical Instrumental Solo:
Andras Schiff – Bach: Das Wohltemperierte Clavier Kim Kashkashian – Kurtág & Ligeti: Music for Viola
Best Classical Vocal Solo: Renee Fleming – Poèmes
Best Contemporary Classical Composition:
Ugis Praulins – The Nightingale Stephen Hartke – Meanwhile – Incidental Music to Imaginary Puppet Plays
Best Classical Compendium:
Partch (ensemble), John Schneider (producer) – Bitter Music Antoni Wit (conductor), Aleksandra Nagórko & Andrzej Sasin (producers) – Fonogrammi; Horn Concerto; The Awakening of Jacob; Anaklasis
MUSIC VIDEO FIELD (winners complete)
Best Short Form Music Video: Rihanna featuring Calvin Harris – “We Found Love”
Best Long Form Music Video:
U2 – From The Sky Down Mumford & Sons, Edward Sharpe & The Magnetic Zeros & Old Crow Medicine Show – Big Easy Express
So, as you can see, I have no runaway winners according to my predictions, though fun., Jay-Z, Kanye West and Mumford & Sons would all receive three wins, with a number of other acts like The Black Keys and Miguel getting two. Again, check back on Sunday night to see the actual winners. Thanks for checking out the post!Big hits have been winning the Short Form category is recent years; otherwise, “Bad Girls” by M.I.A. might have a chance. U2 won the Long Form Award with other time in 1995.