2016 GRAMMY Awards: Adam Predicts The Winners

And the winner is...

And the winner is…

It’s almost time for the 58th Annual GRAMMY Awards, airing live on CBS tonight at 8PM Eastern. We’ll witness greatness from a whole lot of acts, superstars and newcomers, all in the hunt for their chance to take home the big prize. Alabama Shakes, Chris StapletonKendrick Lamar, Taylor Swift and The Weekend are among the performers for the big show, and rank among the nominees in a number of categories, many of which you’ll see below. From “Blank Space” to “Can’t Feel My Face”, this race is a cool chase. (I’ll leave the rhyming to them next time.)

At the same time that we’ll be celebrating the artists and music of the last year, it’s also been a rough year in terms of losses within the music community. Since December, those acts include names like Lemmy Kilmister, Natalie Cole, David Bowie, Glenn Frey and Maurice White. Remember, that’s just in the last seven weeks. Many more musicians have passed since the last award show. It’ll be interesting to see how the committee responds with tribute performances and the In Memoriam section. I imagine it will be an especially sad one.

So, without further ado, here’s what I’m thinking for this year’s potential winners. Note that the choices I’ve predicted are in bold, with a spot marked “WINNER” below each category. Those blank slots will be updated once the actual winners are revealed in the Premiere Ceremony (3:30 – 6:30 Eastern, watch here) or on the CBS telecast. Though I’m not making a prediction for every single category, let’s hope I get some right…

THE BIG FOUR (with commentary)

Record Of The Year
“Really Love”, D’Angelo & The Vanguard
“Uptown Funk”, Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars
“Thinking Out Loud”, Ed Sheeran
“Blank Space”, Taylor Swift
“Can’t Feel My Face”, The Weeknd

Four out of the five nominees in this category were mass appeal hits that topped both domestic and international charts, while it’s still a surprise to “Really Love” up for the award, even if it did have some success on the Urban AC listing. “Uptown Funk” seemed to cross over seamlessly from format to format, and its U.S. sales total is approaching seven million copies. Needless to say, a few members on the voting panel aren’t going to stop the majority of them from feeling totally funky during this GRAMMY season.

WINNER: “Uptown Funk”, Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars

Album Of The Year
Alabama Shakes, Sound & Color
Kendrick Lamar, To Pimp A Butterfly
Chris Stapleton, Traveller
Taylor Swift, 1989
The Weeknd, Beauty Behind The Madness

1989 and Beauty Behind The Madness are safe choices to win the award given how many hit singles each set has pumped out thus far. Swift’s effort, in particular, saw its first five singles go to #1 on the pop radio chart, and is currently certified 5x Platinum. It is entirely possible for them to pull off a win, but I’m more interested in the other three sets. I’ve gone back and forth between all of them, but Stapleton’s three wins at the CMA Awards and his momentum (at both radio and retail) since then give him my vote.

WINNER: Taylor Swift, 1989

Song Of The Year
“Alright”, Kendrick Lamar (Kendrick Duckworth, Mark Anthony Spears & Pharrell Williams)
“Blank Space”, Taylor Swift (Max Martin, Shellback & Taylor Swift)
“Girl Crush”, Little Big Town (Hillary Lindsey, Lori McKenna & Liz Rose)
“See You Again”, Wiz Khalifa featuring Charlie Puth (Andrew Cedar, Justin Franks, Charles Puth & Cameron Thomaz)
“Thinking Out Loud”, Ed Sheeran (Ed Sheeran & Amy Wadge)

If Record Of The Year has a strong chance of going “Uptown Funk”, this category will likely go to “Thinking Out Loud” (though it’s possible that Sheeran’s song could take home both.) It’s a well-crafted torch song, and one that continues to be bought and played on many different platforms. “Girl Crush” may also be in the running, as it won the same category at the CMA Awards, but it has a much better chance of scooping up a win in the Country field (where I am predicting at least one win for the Alabama quartet.)

WINNER: “Thinking Out Loud”, Ed Sheeran (Ed Sheeran & Amy Wadge)

Best New Artist
Courtney Barnett
James Bay
Meghan Trainor
Sam Hunt
Tori Kelly

This category is a tough one this year… well, for me, at least. Many people seem to think Trainor is a shoo-in for this category; I’m not one of them. She’s actually been nominated in similar categories on other U.S. shows and hasn’t won at all. If that does change for the GRAMMY Awards, it’ll be a good look for her new single in March and upcoming album later this year. However, I’m going to give this to Kelly. She’s not had the biggest radio airplay or single sales, but she’s liked by many audiences and does well live.

WINNER: Meghan Trainor

POP

Best Pop Solo Performance
“Heartbeat Song”, Kelly Clarkson
“Love Me Like You Do”, Ellie Goulding
“Thinking Out Loud”, Ed Sheeran
“Blank Space”, Taylor Swift
“Can’t Feel My Face”, The Weeknd

WINNER: “Thinking Out Loud”, Ed Sheeran

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
“Ship To Wreck”, Florence + The Machine
“Sugar”, Maroon 5
“Uptown Funk”, Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars
“Bad Blood”, Taylor Swift featuring Kendrick Lamar
“See You Again”, Wiz Khalifa featuring Charlie Puth

WINNER: “Uptown Funk”, Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars

Best Pop Vocal Album
Kelly Clarkson, Piece By Piece
Florence + The Machine, How Big, How Blue, How Beautiful
Mark Ronson, Uptown Special
Taylor Swift, 1989
James Taylor, Before This World

WINNER: Taylor Swift, 1989

Best Traditional Pop Vocal Album
Tony Bennett and Bill Charlap, The Silver Lining: The Songs Of Jerome Kern
Bob Dylan, Shadows In The Night
Josh Groban, Stages
Seth MacFarlane, No One Ever Tells You
Barry Manilow with various artists, My Dream Duets

WINNER: Tony Bennett and Bill Charlap, The Silver Lining: The Songs Of Jerome Kern

DANCE/ELECTRONIC

Best Dance Recording
“We’re All We Need”, Above & Beyond featuring Zoë Johnston
“Go”, The Chemical Brothers
“Never Catch Me”, Flying Lotus featuring Kendrick Lamar
“Runaway (U & I)”, Galantis
“Where Are Ü Now”, Skrillex and Diplo with Justin Bieber

WINNER: “Where Are Ü Now”, Skrillex and Diplo with Justin Bieber

Best Dance/Electronic Album
Caribou, Our Love
The Chemical Brothers, Born In The Echoes
Disclosure, Caracal
Jamie xx, In Colour
Skrillex and Diplo, Skrillex and Diplo Present Jack Ü

WINNER: Skrillex and Diplo, Skrillex and Diplo Present Jack Ü

ROCK

Best Rock Performance
“Don’t Wanna Fight”, Alabama Shakes
“What Kind Of Man”, Florence + The Machine
“Something From Nothing”, Foo Fighters
“Ex’s & Oh’s”, Elle King
“Moaning Lisa Smile”, Wolf Alice

WINNER: “Don’t Wanna Fight”, Alabama Shakes

Best Rock Song
“Don’t Wanna Fight”, Alabama Shakes (Alabama Shakes)
“Ex’s & Oh’s”, Elle King (Dave Bassett and Elle King)
“Hold Back The River”, James Bay (Iain Archer and James Bay)
“Lydia”, Highly Suspect (Richard Meyer, Ryan Meyer and Johnny Stevens)
“What Kind Of Man”, Florence + The Machine (John Hill, Tom Hull and Florence Welch)

WINNER: “Don’t Wanna Fight”, Alabama Shakes (Alabama Shakes)

Best Rock Album
James Bay, Chaos And The Calm
Death Cab For Cutie, Kintsugi
Highly Suspect, Mister Asylum
Muse, Drones
Slipknot, .5: The Gray Chapter

WINNER: Muse, Drones

ALTERNATIVE

Best Alternative Music Album
Alabama Shakes, Sound & Color
Björk, Vulnicura
My Morning Jacket, The Waterfall
Tame Impala, Currents
Wilco, Star Wars

WINNER: Alabama Shakes, Sound & Color

R&B

Best R&B Performance
“If I Don’t Have You”, Tamar Braxton
“Rise Up”, Andra Day
“Breathing Underwater”, Hiatus Kaiyote
“Planes”, Jeremih featuring J. Cole
“Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey)”, The Weeknd

WINNER: “Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey)”, The Weeknd

Best Traditional R&B Performance
“He Is”, Faith Evans
“Little Ghetto Boy”, Lalah Hathaway
“Let It Burn”, Jazmine Sullivan
“Shame”, Tyrese
“My Favorite Part Of You”, Charlie Wilson

WINNER: “Little Ghetto Boy”, Lalah Hathaway

Best R&B Song
“Coffee”, Miguel (Brook Davis & Miguel Pimentel)
“Earned It (Fifty Shades Of Grey)”, The Weeknd (Ahmad Balshe, Stephan Moccio, Jason Quenneville & Abel Tesfaye)
“Let It Burn”, Jazmine Sullivan (Kenny B. Edmonds, Jazmine Sullivan & Dwane M. Weir II)
“Really Love”, D’Angelo & The Vanguard (D’Angelo & Kendra Foster)
“Shame”, Tyrese (Warryn Campbell, Tyrese Gibson & DJ Rogers Jr.)

WINNER: “Really Love”, D’Angelo & The Vanguard (D’Angelo & Kendra Foster)

Best Urban Contemporary Album
The Weeknd, Beauty Behind The Madness
Lianne La Havas, Blood
Miguel, Wildheart
Kehlani, You Should Be Here
The Internet, Ego Death

WINNER: The Weeknd, Beauty Behind The Madness

Best R&B Album
Leon Bridges, Coming Home
D’Angelo & The Vanguard, Black Messiah
Andra Day, Cheers To The Fall
Jazmine Sullivan, Reality Show
Charlie Wilson, Forever Charlie

WINNER: D’Angelo & The Vanguard, Black Messiah

RAP

Best Rap Performance
“Apparently”, J. Cole
“Back To Back”, Drake
“Trap Queen”, Fetty Wap
“Alright”, Kendrick Lamar
“Truffle Butter”, Nicki Minaj featuring Drake and Lil Wayne
“All Day”, Kanye West featuring Theophilus London, Allan Kingdom and Paul McCartney

WINNER: “Alright”, Kendrick Lamar

Best Rap/Sung Collaboration
“One Man Can Change The World”, Big Sean featuring Kanye West & John Legend
“Glory”, Common featuring John Legend
“Classic Man”, Jidenna featuring Roman GianArthur
“These Walls”, Kendrick Lamar featuring Bilal, Anna Wise & Thundercat
“Only”, Nicki Minaj featuring Drake, Lil Wayne & Chris Brown

WINNER: “These Walls”, Kendrick Lamar featuring Bilal, Anna Wise & Thundercat

Best Rap Song
“All Day”, Kanye West featuring Theophilus London, Allan Kingdom and Paul McCartney (Ernest Brown, Tyler Bryant, Sean Combs, Mike Dean, Rennard East, Noah Goldstein, Malik Yusef Jones, Karim Kharbouch, Allan Kyariga, Kendrick Lamar, Paul McCartney, Victor Mensah, Charles Njapa, Che Pope, Patrick Reynolds, Allen Ritter, Kanye West, Mario Winans and Cydel Young)
“Alright”, Kendrick Lamar (Kendrick Duckworth, Mark Anthony Spears and Pharrell Williams)
“Energy”, Drake (Richard Dorfmeister, A. Graham, Markus Kienzl, M. O’Brien, M. Samuels and Phillip Thomas)
“Glory”, Common featuring John Legend (Lonnie Lynn, Che Smith and John Stephens)
“Trap Queen”, Fetty Wap (Tony Fadd and Willie J. Maxwell)

WINNER: “Alright”, Kendrick Lamar (Kendrick Duckworth, Mark Anthony Spears and Pharrell Williams)

Best Rap Album
J. Cole, 2014 Forest Hills Drive
Dr. Dre, Compton
Drake, If You’re Reading This It’s Too Late
Kendrick Lamar, To Pimp A Butterfly
Nicki Minaj, The Pinkprint

WINNER: Kendrick Lamar, To Pimp A Butterfly

COUNTRY

Best Country Solo Performance
“Burning House”, Cam
“Traveller”, Chris Stapleton
“Little Toy Guns”, Carrie Underwood
“John Cougar, John Deere, John 3:16”, Keith Urban
“Chances Are”, Lee Ann Womack

WINNER: “Traveller”, Chris Stapleton

Best Country Duo/Group Performance
“Stay A Little Longer”, Brothers Osborne
“If I Needed You”, Joey + Rory
“The Driver”, Charles Kelley, Dierks Bentley & Eric Paslay
“Girl Crush”, Little Big Town
“Lonely Tonight”, Blake Shelton featuring Ashley Monroe

WINNER: “Girl Crush”, Little Big Town

Best Country Song
“Chances Are”, Lee Ann Womack (Hayes Carll)
“Diamond Rings And Old Barstools”, Tim McGraw featuring Catherine Dunn (Barry Dean, Luke Laird & Jonathan Singleton)
“Girl Crush”, Little Big Town (Hillary Lindsey, Lori McKenna & Liz Rose)
“Hold My Hand”, Brandy Clark (Brandy Clark & Mark Stephen Jones)
“Traveller”, Chris Stapleton (Chris Stapleton)

WINNER: “Girl Crush”, Little Big Town (Hillary Lindsey, Lori McKenna & Liz Rose)

Best Country Album
Sam Hunt, Montevallo
Little Big Town, Pain Killer
Ashley Monroe, The Blade
Kacey Musgraves, Pageant Material
Chris Stapleton, Traveller

WINNER: Chris Stapleton, Traveller

MUSICAL THEATER

Best Musical Theater Album
An American in Paris
Fun Home
Hamilton
The King And I
Something Rotten!

WINNER: Hamilton

MUSIC FOR VISUAL MEDIA

Best Compilation Soundtrack Album For Visual Media
Empire: Season 1
Fifty Shades Of Grey
Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me
Pitch Perfect 2
Selma

WINNER: Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me

Best Song Written For Visual Media
Fifty Shades Of Grey: “Earned It”, The Weeknd (Ahmad Balshe, Stephan Moccio, Jason Quenneville & Abel Tesfaye)
Selma: “Glory”, Common featuring John Legend (Lonnie Lynn, Che Smith & John Stephens)
Fifty Shades Of Grey: “Love Me Like You Do”, Ellie Goulding (Savan Kotecha, Max Martin, Tove Lo, Ali Payami & Ilya Salmanzadeh)
Furious 7: “See You Again”, Wiz Khalifa featuring Charlie Puth (Andrew Cedar, Justin Franks, Charlie Puth & Cameron Thomaz)
The Hunting Ground: “Til It Happens To You”, Lady Gaga (Lady Gaga & Diane Warren)

WINNER: Selma: “Glory”, Common featuring John Legend (Lonnie Lynn, Che Smith & John Stephens)

PRODUCER

Producer Of The Year, Non-Classical
Jeff Bhasker
Dave Cobb
Diplo
Larry Klein
Blake Mills

WINNER: Jeff Bhasker

REMIXER

Best Remixed Recording, Non-Classical
“Berlin By Overnight (CFCF Remix)”, Daniel Hope
“Hold On (Fatum Remix)”, JES, Shant & Clint Maximus
“Runaway (U & I) (Kaskade Remix)”, Galantis
“Say My Name (RAC Remix)”, Odesza featuring Zyra
“Uptown Funk (Dave Audé Remix)”, Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars

WINNER: “Uptown Funk (Dave Audé Remix)”, Mark Ronson featuring Bruno Mars

MUSIC VIDEO/FILM

Best Music Video
“LSD”, A$AP Rocky
“I Feel Love (Every Million Miles)”, The Dead Weather
“Alright”, Kendrick Lamar
“Bad Blood”, Taylor Swift featuring Kendrick Lamar
“Freedom”, Pharrell Williams

WINNER: “Bad Blood”, Taylor Swift featuring Kendrick Lamar

Best Music Film
James Brown, Mr. Dynamite: The Rise of James Brown
Foo Fighters, Sonic Highways
Nina Simone, What Happened, Miss Simone?
Roger Waters, The Wall
Amy Winehouse, Amy

WINNER: Amy Winehouse, Amy

Once again, the GRAMMY Awards air live at 8PM Eastern (5PM Pacific) on CBS. Enjoy the show and check back for the results!

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